I am an awful blogger. I know. Over the last few months I've started to write dozens of posts catching you all up on me, on Egypt, on everything I have so regretfully failed to write about. Today, as every few minutes military apaches fly so low over me that I can see the faces of the pilots and soldiers with weapons pointed down at their own people, I realize that all I really need to do is explain to you how we got here. How Egypt went from a bad to worse, from broken and corrupt to downright fascist.
In June 2013 the military "deposed" the president elect Mohamed Morsi. Morsi was elected by the people in May of 2012 (though the results weren't publicly announced until June likely because he had to work out a power sharing deal with the military before they would "allow" him to be president. But that's not official) in the first "democratic" elections since the fall of Hosni Mubarak. Morsi is a member of the Muslim Brotherhood's political wing, Ikhwan. His election was far from surprising. Although the masses that fought for the removal of Mubarak certainly didn't have the election of a Muslim Brotherhood (I will refer to then as the MB from here out) member in mind, the MB has been a popular opposition movement in Egypt for over 60 years. Under Mubarak the MB was banned from the public eye and unable to participate in politics, so given the chance to be a real player in the game support for the well organized and strong community service oriented Muslim Brotherhood was wide and real. They were the only political party with the organization, publicity and support needed to win an election. And they did.
I like to compare Morsi to Bush. Neither one was well spoken, both came off as slightly less intelligent than we might like our leaders to be and both certainly made horribly embarrassing social gaffes at the worst of times. Morsi adjusted his, ahem, "package" while sitting with Australia's Julia Denarde on live TV, he said things like "gaz and alcohol don't mix" and "nobody can finger Egypt". But the real problem of the Morsi presidency was that it was very apparent Morsi was merely a puppet for the goals and agenda of the wider regional Muslim Brotherhood leadership. I'm pretty sure it wasn't this teddy bear looking guy that was really calling the shots. And the shots he was calling were just bad. He started out by issuing a decree protecting the controversial constitutional committee from disolution along with the upper (mostly unelected) chamber of the parliament, neutralizing the judicial system (meaning he was free to issue any sort of orders he pleased without and court nullifying them as illegal), basically making himself a dictator. This didn't bode well. This along with increasing violence in the Sinai at the hands of religiously led groups, tricky dealings with Hamas in the occupied Gaza strip, increasing prices on basic food items, frequent power cuts and long long lines at petrol stations made him wildly unpopular.
So in June of 2013 a group called Tamarod ("rebel") called for nationwide protests against the Morsi government. It was clear that the military was thrilled. Recently there have been conspiracy theorists claiming that Tamarod was actually the brain child of the Egyptian security state, and I must admit I wouldn't be surprised. As protesters gathered in public squares around the country military helicopters flew low overhead dropping flags and flowers (yes. FLOWERS) and making hearts in the sky. No, I am not joking.
After a few days it was announced that the military, led by Chief General Abdul Fatah al-Sisi was removing President Morsi from power. Ummmmm what? I thought we were moving towards democracy here. Apparently not. Sisi announced a "roadmap" to new elections that was very popular among the people, it was similiar to the roadmap the people had called for after the toppling of Mubarak. And the people were thrilled. So thrilled in fact that most refused to see the change for what it really was, a coup d'etat. Even saying the word "coup" was an offense punishable by a good word thrashing or at times even physical violence. But it was a coup. COUP COUP COUP. To make a long story short Sisi announced the appointment of an interim president called Adly Mansour which has been one of the biggest jokes of this whole thing. Mansour has no power, no voice, no nothing. He is a face to meet and greet foreign leaders and nothing else. General Sisi is the man.
None too surprising supporters of the Muslim Brotherhood were outraged, They have been trying to take power in Egypt for decades and in less that one year their guy was taken out by the military. So they set up rather large protests in two main areas of Cairo where they sat in for about two months. One of these areas is located at a major traffic artery in a very busy and commercial suburb of Cairo called Heliopolis in front of a mosque called al Rabaa al-Adiwayya. Rumors exploded about the sit in at Rabaa. People thought to be spies were being tortured, there were dozens of dead bodies piled up under the stages, they were armed dangerous and out for blood. I have never heard a credible report that any of this is true. Meanwhile the TV stations began referring to the Rabaa protesters as terrorists and anytime the news talked about the situation a little text box appeared in the corner of the screen that said something along the lines of "Egypt Fights Terrorism". WHAT?! People were growing increasingly impatient with these sit ins and the rhetoric was explosive. Even people who had once protested agaisnt the military and police were encouraging their rhetoric and even suggesting a violent removal of protesters was the answer. Sisi in all his fascist brilliance called for Egyptians to take to the streets to give their support for his military to remove protesters. I mean seriously?
In all honestly it was time for the protest to end. It was blocking a major traffic pattern and it was a huge pain in the ass. So I supported the removal of protesters. The military announced that they would clear the protests in a peaceful manner and only use force if necessary. Anyone who was willing to leave would be allowed a safe and protected exit and not arrested. I should add that there were whole families protesting at Rabaa. Families with kids, senior citizens, it was a wide segment of the population. Early in the morning of August 14th security forces showed up to clear Rabaa. There is no clear picture of what really happened except that at the end of the day hundreds of people were dead. HUNDREDS.
What I can tell you is what I experienced. I was at work this day and we left early due to what was unfolding. Instead of having multiple drop off points like it usually does our bus stopped only once, very close to the massacre that was happening at Rabaa. I had to take a taxi from that point to my home in Maadi which is on the other side of the battle. Like I said this was all happening at a major traffic artery and so we had no choice but to get uncomfortably close. At this point I had not seen or read and news of what was happening but as we got closer it was obvious. There was constant gunfire, smoke and police snipers on most rooftops. The streets were blocked meaning anyone who was inside the perimeter was stuck there and anyone trying to leave was vulnerable to sniper fire. I saw ambulances being denied entry to help the wounded and at one point we pickled up a teenager who had been shot twice and took him to a field clinic that was set up behind a kiosk. Anyone caught helping wounded protesters was arrested including doctors and good samaritans.
Anyways, the fall out of this was a nightmare. People blamed the protesters saying they should have known better, they deserved it, etc. A complete loss of humanity. Suddenly those who had just months before been protesting against the trigger happy military were supporting its use of excessive violence and justifying murder. Again, it was awful. At this point Egyptian society split between supporters of the military and supporters of Morsi. You had to be one or the other. People like me who thought they were both wrong were labeled Morsi sympathizers. It was a mess. I have never seen such a vehement and manufactured polarization of a society,
Over the following months we were under a military imposed curfew. From 7pm util 6am we had to be inside our homes. MB supporters have held weekly marches and protests but the voices that had once protested so loudly against the military after the revolution have disappeared. The revolution is officially dead. Every advancement, every win made has been away and reversed by Sisi.
And now here we are. Since the Rabaa massacre the military was again has god like status. Sisi has slowly returned civil law to the Mubarak era making protest illegal, authorizing the military and police to use excessive force, reinstating the torture state and the secret police. Its a mess. Sisi is on track to be the next president of Egypt and the military has written itself into the constitution being voted on today and tomorrow as the most powerful entity in Egypt. If you can, google "Sisi dream" and read about the dream Sisi had. It's pretty comical. Sisi has deemed the Muslim Brotherhood a "terrorist organization" and so they are back underground where they were under Mubarak.
Today and tomorrow Egyptians are voting in a referendum to approve the new constitution. The third in as many years. This version includes more rights for the people but also makes the military untouchable. Military trials for civilians are legal, the military gets to appoint the Defense Minister who serves for twice as long as the President, etc. Its a joke. Many groups are boycotting the vote but it is readily apparent that it will be approved. Hopefully the next two days will go without incident. Security is high, every few minutes military helicopters are overhead to remind the people that they are watching. There are armed police and military everywhere to remind us all that they are watching. They are always watching...